Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COMP5692 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 29.369025 31.430484 33.660348 36.269261 39.261205 42.614220 46.698379
2025-11-09 25.794065 28.451740 31.492990 35.287185 39.979147 45.715140 53.471420
2025-11-16 23.530984 26.403287 29.798787 34.202237 39.914236 47.317962 58.116562
2025-11-23 22.554213 25.711499 29.559787 34.741607 41.795196 51.521596 66.973327
2025-11-30 21.522653 24.828053 28.951300 34.668283 42.758614 54.512207 74.675864
2025-12-07 20.536852 23.911093 28.197827 34.283357 43.176958 56.691062 81.558060
2025-12-14 19.259522 22.535692 26.739191 32.784376 41.779753 55.806590 82.728787
2025-12-21 18.706453 22.063841 26.440850 32.870458 42.729887 58.800557 92.069252
2025-12-28 18.316120 21.777224 26.362947 33.247887 44.145804 62.790946 104.945725
2026-01-04 17.594192 21.008722 25.572256 32.506018 43.676547 63.325751 110.184058
2026-01-11 17.375728 20.906474 25.699275 33.140328 45.525218 68.492969 129.519618
2026-01-18 17.117941 20.734084 25.710581 33.587836 47.097019 73.447192 151.797641
2026-01-25 16.582859 20.230674 25.325973 33.565198 48.180905 78.436213 182.588096
2026-02-01 15.828451 19.395664 24.424390 32.665415 47.604074 79.774913 203.088433
2026-02-08 15.137941 18.613747 23.549187 31.723697 46.802583 80.357065 222.001011
2026-02-15 14.868068 18.415077 23.529169 32.194348 48.799822 88.614050 304.730642
2026-02-22 14.491067 18.041120 23.215968 32.130411 49.707170 94.394454 402.701033
2026-03-01 14.080323 17.598682 22.770385 31.793995 49.989516 98.527769 523.266891
2026-03-08 13.474118 16.847527 21.810269 30.480302 48.002289 94.974706 517.313709
2026-03-15 13.218932 16.604465 21.634218 30.555903 49.084181 101.881814 807.738559
2026-03-22 13.035679 16.459351 21.602828 30.887147 50.796195 111.988868 1895.594728
2026-03-29 12.657314 16.008601 21.061724 30.235703 50.120567 112.873186 2983.027249
2026-04-05 12.548202 15.958446 21.162433 30.792787 52.437846 127.423236 NaN